Monica Ortiz

Assessing the impact of climate change on crop yields in Europe

ImageFunding: Grantham Centre for Sustainable Futures


Dr. Julie Jones, Department of Geography, University of Sheffield

Professor Rob Freckleton, Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield

Professor Adam Scaife, Head of Monthly to Decadal Prediction, UK Met Office Hadley Centre

Research Interests
I am interested in climate change adaptation, agriculture, risk and resilience, disaster risk reduction, ecosystems, food security, sustainable development.

Project description
A major question for food security over the coming century is how temperature and precipitation changes will impact crop production and hence food security. My project will couple climate modelling and crop modelling to provide estimates of crop yields in Europe to the end of this century in an attempt to provide an internationally relevant answer to the question.

Estimates of future climate change and variability will be obtained from existing simulations with Global Climate Models (GCMs) forced with scenarios of future greenhouse gas emissions. Output from these GCM simulations for variables relevant for crop growth will be used as input to crop growth models, to produce predictions of crop yield to focus on wheat, the key staple for Europe.

Academic Background
MSc, MAg Environmental Science (passed with distinction)
University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark and University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria, 2012
Thesis: Climate change impacts on banana production in the Davao region of the

BSc, Biology, minor in Chemistry, minor in Comparative Literature
University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, USA, 2009

Honours and Awards

  • 2014 - Grantham Centre for Sustainable Futures Scholarship
  • 2012 - MSc degree, passed with distinction
  • 2011 - Erasmus Mobility Scholarship
  • 2009 - University of Oregon Centurion Award, awarded to 100 students (out of more than 20,000) for dedication and outstanding service as student leaders.
  • 2008, 2007 - University of Oregon Friendship Foundation Award, for international student leadership

Publications and news articles

  • Gotangco CK, See J, Dalupang JP, Ortiz M, Porio E, Dator-Bercilla J, Yulo-Loyzaga A, Narisma G. Quantifying Resilience to Flooding Among Households and Local Government Units Using System Dynamics: the Case of Metro Manila. Conference Paper: 6th international conference on Flood Management, Sao Paolo, Brazil. Sept. 2014.
    Available as a pdf.
  • Dator-Bercilla, J. and AMD Ortiz. 2013. “Framework, Approaches, Parameters and Measures for Climate Change and Tourism In the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)”. Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
    Available as a pdf.
  • “Manila Observatory analyzes LPA that affected Mindanao” Philippine Daily Inquirer. 23 January 2014.
  • Technical report on Typhoon Haiyan (2013).
  • “June 17 traffic nightmare: the new normal for the rainy season?”. Philippine Star. 27 June 2013.
  • “Reducing the risk of disasters”. Rappler. 29 May 2013.
  • “COMMENTARY: Pablo, climate change and banana production in the Davao Region”. EDGE DAVAO. Volume 5, Issue 222-223. 12-14 January 2013.

Poster Presentations

  • Understanding how Local Government Units Contribute to Metro Manila’s Resilience to Disasters and Climate Change
    National Sustainability Conference, Ateneo de Manila University Institute for Sustainability, Philippines (2014)
  • Remote Sensing-Geographical Information Systems (RS-GIS)-based Integrated Analysis on Risks to Climate Change and Disasters in Davao Oriental
    National Sustainability Conference, Ateneo de Manila University Institute for Sustainability, Philippines (2014)
  • Climate Change Impacts on Banana Production in the Davao Region of the Philippines First
    National Research Conference on Climate Change and Variability, National Academy of Science and Technology (NAST), Philippines (2012)

Professional Activities and Training

  • 2014 - Climate Downscaling Training, International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Italy
  • 2014 - Expert Panel, Third National Science Fair (Philippines)
  • 2013 - Scientific Institution Participant, Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction, Geneva
  • 2011, 2012 - Philippine Delegation, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Conference of the Parties, South Africa (2011) and Thailand (2012)
  • 2012 - Southeast Asian Regional Centre for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA) Course on Responding to Climate Risks in Agriculture and Natural Resource Management
  • 2011 - “Climate Change and its Impacts on Water Supply” Training Course, South Eastern Europe Transnational Cooperation Program, Greece

Teaching experience

  • Introduction to the Plant World (Botany), and Science and Society, Ateneo de Manila University, Philippines (2012-2013)
  • Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation, University of Copenhagen (2011-2012)
  • Environmental Management in Europe, University of Copenhagen (2011-2012)

Contact information

Andrea Monica D. Ortiz (Monica)
Department of Geography, University of Sheffield, Winter Street, Sheffield, S10 2TN, UK
Blog: (Grantham Centre for Sustainable Futures)
Twitter: @amdortiz