Professor David Shambaugh - 'China's Future'
China's future is arguably the most consequential question in global affairs. Having enjoyed unprecedented levels of growth, China is at a critical juncture in the development of its economy, society, polity, national security, and international relations. The direction the nation takes at this turning point will determine whether it stalls or continues to develop and prosper.
Will China be successful in implementing a new wave of transformational reforms that could last decades and make it the world's leading superpower? Or will its leaders shy away from the drastic changes required because the regime's power is at risk. If so, will that lead to prolonged stagnation or even regime collapse Might China move down a more liberal or even democratic patch? Or will China instead emerge as a hard, authoritarian and aggressive superstate?
In his new book China's Future, David Shambaugh argues that these potential pathways are all possibilities - but they depend on key decisions yet to be made by China's leaders, different pressures from within Chinese society, as well as actions taken by other nations. Professor Shambaugh will assess these scenarios and their implications in his lecture.
Biography - Professor David Shambaugh
Professor Shambaugh is an internationally recognised authority and author on contemporary China and the international relations of Asia. He is presently Professor of Political Science and International Affairs and the founding Director of the China Policy Program in the Elliot School of International Affairs at George Washington University. He was previously Reader in Chinese Politics in the University of London's School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), where he also served as Editor of The China Quarterly. He has served on the Board of Directors for the National Committee on US-China Relations, and has been a member of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Council on Foreign Relations, US Asia-Pacific COuncil, and other public policy and scholarly organizations. Professor Shambaugh is also a frequent commentator in the international media, serves on a number of editorial boards, and has been a consultant to various governments, research institutions, foundations, and private corporations. As an author, he has written or edited more than thirty books, including China Goes Global: The Partial Power (2013 and selected by The Economist, Foreign Affairs, and Bloomberg News as one of the "Best Books of the Year"). His new books published in 2016 are China's Future (Polity Press) and The China Reader: Rising Power (Oxford University Press).