Professor Jeremy Oakley

School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences

Head of School

J.Oakley@shef.ac.uk
+44 114 222 3853

Full contact details

Professor Jeremy Oakley
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences
I16
Hicks Building
Hounsfield Road
Sheffield
S3 7RH
Profile

Professor Oakley obtained his BSc (1996) in Mathematics and Statistics from the University of Nottingham, and his PhD (2000) in Statistics from the University of Sheffield. He has worked as a post- doctoral research associate in both the Department of Computer Science and Department of Probability and Statistics, University of Sheffield, before starting a lectureship in Probability and Statistics in 2002. He has various research interests in Bayesian statistics including uncertainty quantification for computer models, prior elicitation and Bayesian methods in health economics.

Publications

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Journal articles

All publications

Books

Journal articles

Chapters

Conference proceedings papers

  • Jones OPH, Oakley JE & Purshouse RC (2022) Simulation-based engineering design: solving parameter inference and multi-objective optimization problems on a shared simulation budget. Proceedings of 2021 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC) (pp 1399-1405). Melbourne, Australia, 17 October 2021 - 20 October 2021. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley JE, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2022) A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION RELATED TO COUNTERFACTUAL VALUES: A CASE STUDY OF ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 25(1) (pp S274-S274) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Hawkins N, Geue C, Oakley J, Grieve R & Hernandez M (2020) AN EXPLORATION OF THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN FALSE NEGATIVES AND FALSE POSITIVES WHEN IDENTIFYING SUBGROUP EFFECTS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E266-E267) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley J, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2020) A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(5) (pp E410-E411) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Jones OPH, Oakley JE & Purshouse RC (2019) Toward a unified framework for model calibration and optimisation in virtual engineering workflows. 2019 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC) (pp 2148-2153). Bari, Italy, 6 October 2019 - 9 October 2019. View this article in WRRO RIS download Bibtex download
  • Jones OPH, Oakley JE & Purshouse RC (2019) Toward a unified framework for model calibration and optimisation in virtual engineering workflows. 2019 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN AND CYBERNETICS (SMC) (pp 3148-3153) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Jones O, Oakley JE & Purshouse R (2018) Component-level study of a decomposition-based multi-objective optimizer on a limited evaluation budget. Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2018) (pp 689-696), 15 July 2018 - 19 July 2018. View this article in WRRO RIS download Bibtex download
  • Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2017) EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS FOR HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT WITH LIMITED STUDIES. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 20(9) (pp A770-A770) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Malde S, Wyncoll D, Oakley J, Tozer N & Gouldby B (2016) Applying emulators for improved flood risk analysis. E3S Web of Conferences, Vol. 7 (pp 04002-04002) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Strong M, Brennan A & Oakley J (2015) How to Calculate Value of Information in Seconds Using ‘Savi’, the Sheffield Accelerated Value of Information Web App. Value in Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A725-A726) View this article in WRRO RIS download Bibtex download
  • Becker W, Rowson J, Oakley J, Yoxall A, Manson G & Worden K (2008) Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a large nonlinear model. 23rd International Conference on Noise and Vibration Engineering 2008, ISMA 2008, Vol. 6 (pp 3723-3736) View this article in WRRO RIS download Bibtex download
  • Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and teriparatide in women with a prior fracture, low BMD and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S39) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D in women with low dietary calcium intake. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S40) RIS download Bibtex download
  • O'Hagan A & Oakley JE (2004) Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly. RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, Vol. 85(1-3) (pp 239-248) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Lloyd-Jones M, Calvert N, Oakley J & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and hormone replacement therapy in women with established osteoporosis and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S111-S111) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Stevenson MD, Lloyd-Jones M, Brazier JE, Calvert N, Oakley J & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D supplementation in women with low dietary intake of these nutrients and at risk of osteoporosis. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S87-S88) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Oakley J & O’Hagan A (2002) Bayesian Analysis of Computer Model Outputs (pp 119-130) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Lopes S, Niranjan M & Oakley J (2001) Forecasting of Air Pollution at Unmonitored Sites (pp 497-500) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney C, D. Wilkinson R, Oakley J, niederer S & H. Clayton" R () A Workflow for Probabilistic Calibration of Models of Left Atrial Electrophysiology. Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC) RIS download Bibtex download
  • Corrado C, Williams S, Sim I, Coveney S, O'Neill M, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Clayton R & Niederer S () An algorithm to sample an anatomy with uncertainty. 2018 Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC), Vol. 45. Maastricht, The Netherlands, 23 September 2018 - 26 September 2018. View this article in WRRO RIS download Bibtex download

Posters

  • Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley JE, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2022) POSB421 A Framework for Expert Elicitation Related to Counterfactual Values: A Case Study of Elicitation to Inform Subgroup Analyses in Clinical Trials.. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Ren S, Oakley J & Stevens JW (2018) Evidence synthesis with limited studies. HTAi 2018, Vancouver, Canada. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Ren S, Oakley J & Stevens JW (2017) Evidence synthesis for health technology assessment with limited studies.. . ISPOR Glasgow 2017. RIS download Bibtex download

Preprints

  • Salsbury J, Oakley J, Julious S & Hampson L (2023) Assurance Methods for designing a clinical trial with a delayed treatment effect, arXiv. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Coveney S, Roney CH, Corrado C, Wilkinson RD, Oakley JE, Niederer SA & Clayton RH (2022) Calibrating cardiac electrophysiology models using latent Gaussian processes on atrial manifolds. RIS download Bibtex download
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney CH, O'Hare D, Williams SE, O'Neill MD, Niederer SA, Clayton RH, Oakley JE & Wilkinson RD (2020) Gaussian Process Manifold Interpolation for Probabilistic Atrial Activation Maps and Uncertain Conduction Velocity. RIS download Bibtex download
Research group

Statistics

Grants

Current grants, as Coinvestigator

Uncertainty Quantification in Prospective and Predictive Patient Specific Cardiac Models EPSRC

Past grants, as Principal Investigator

Gaussian Process Emulators for Numerical Models INO
Simulation Tools for Automated and Robust Manufacturing EPSRC
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Past grants, as Coinvestigator

Development of a fully Bayesian framework for the identification and estimation of subgroup effects in Randomised Controlled Trials MRC
Calibration and analysis of complex models: methodological development and application to explore the impact of HAART in Africa MRC
Managing Uncertainty in Complex Models 2 (MUCM2) EPSRC
Managing Uncertainty in Complex Models EPSRC
Coupled models: Expert judgement, emulators and model uncertainty EPSRC
Simplicity, complexity and modelling EPSRC
BAMRA: Bayesian approaches in microbial risk assessment (Working group) NERC
Mathematics for data modelling EPSRC
The probability of rapid climate change NERC
The probability of rapid climate change NERC
Teaching activities
MAS113 Introduction to Probability and Statistics