Pete Dodd

All publications

Journal articles

• Rickman HM, Phiri MD, Feasey HRA, Krutikov M, Shao H, Horton KC, Dowdy DW, Nightingale ES, Dodd PJ, Corbett EL & MacPherson P (2025) Sex differences in the risk of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based immunoreactivity surveys. The Lancet Public Health, 10(7), e588-e598.
• d’Elbée M, Mafirakureva N, Chabala C, Huyen Ton Nu Nguyet M, Harker M, Roucher C, Businge G, Shankalala P, Nduna B, Mulenga V , Bonnet M et al (2025) Treatment decision algorithms for tuberculosis screening and diagnosis in children below 5 years hospitalised with severe acute malnutrition: a cost-effectiveness analysis. eClinicalMedicine, 83, 103206-103206.
• Mafirakureva N, Hunter R, Ferraro CF, Willner S, Finnie T, Hayward A, Lee A, Roy A, Edge C & Dodd PJ (2025) Cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis infection screening at first reception into English prisons: a model-based analysis. eClinicalMedicine, 83, 103245-103245.
• Dodd PJ, Van Zandvoort K, Checchi F, Khan U, Haqmal M, Khan P & McQuaid CF (2025) Thinking fast and slow: the urgency of crisis response must not lead us to overlook chronic needs such as tuberculosis. BMJ Global Health, 10(3), e018012-e018012.
• Chiang SS, Murray MB, Kay AW & Dodd PJ (2025) Factors driving adolescent tuberculosis incidence by age and sex in 30 high-tuberculosis burden countries: a mathematical modelling study. BMJ Global Health, 10(3), e015368-e015368.
• du Preez K, Jenkins HE, Martinez L, Chiang SS, Dlamini SS, Dolynska M, Aleksandrin A, Kobe J, Graham SM, Hesseling AC , Starke JR et al (2025) Global burden of tuberculous meningitis in children aged 0–14 years in 2019: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet Global Health, 13(1), e59-e68.
• Chitwood MH, Corbett EL, Ndhlovu V, Sobkowiak B, Colijn C, Andrews JR, Burke RM, Cudahy PGT, Dodd PJ, Imai-Eaton JW , Engelthaler DM et al (2025) Distribution and transmission of M. tuberculosis in a high-HIV prevalence city in Malawi: A genomic and spatial analysis.. PLOS Glob Public Health, 5(4), e0004040.
• Hamilton F, Schurz H, Yates TA, Gilchrist JJ, Möller M, Naranbhai V, Ghazal P, Timpson NJ, Akhtar S, Anwar M , Asgar O et al (2025) Altered IL-6 signalling and risk of tuberculosis: a multi-ancestry mendelian randomisation study. The Lancet Microbe, 6(1), 100922-100922.
• Mafirakureva N, Denoeud-Ndam L, Tchounga BK, Otieno-Masaba R, Herrera N, Mukherjee S, Casenghi M, Tiam A & Dodd PJ (2024) Cost-effectiveness of integrating paediatric tuberculosis services into child healthcare services in Africa: a modelling analysis of a cluster-randomised trial. BMJ Global Health, 9(12), e016416-e016416.
• Mohammed W, Strong M & Dodd P (2024) EE507 Deriving Decision Uncertainty Associated With Calibration Target Data: A Value of Information Approach. Value in Health, 27(12), S156-S156.
• Oguta J, Breeze P, Wambiya EOA, Kibe P, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd P (2024) EE78 Application of Decision Analytic Modelling to Cardiovascular Disease Prevention in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review. Value in Health, 27(12), S69-S69.
• Wambiya EOA, Gillespie D, Akparibo R, Oguta J, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd P (2024) EE565 Decision-Analytic Model-Based Economic Evaluations of Integrated Care Interventions for Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity: A Systematic Review. Value in Health, 27(12), S167-S167.
• Oguta JO, Breeze P, Wambiya E, Akoth C, Mbuthia G, Otieno P, Ombiro O, Kisaka Y, Mbau L, Onyango E , Gathecha G et al (2024) Prevalence and Determinants of Ideal Cardiovascular Health in Kenya: A Cross-Sectional Study Using Data From the 2015 Kenya STEPwise Survey. Global Heart, 19(1), 79-79.
• Seddon JA, McQuaid CF, Mafirakureva N, Hesseling AC, Fox GJ & Dodd PJ (2024) Household contact management and preventive treatment for drug-resistant tuberculosis. The Lancet Global Health, 12(9), e1387-e1388.
• McQuaid CF, Menzies NA, Houben RMGJ, Gomez GB, Vassall A, Arinaminpathy N, Dodd PJ & White RG (2024) Improving the contribution of mathematical modelling evidence to guidelines and policy: Experiences from tuberculosis. Epidemics, 48, 100786-100786.
• Schurz H, Naranbhai V, Yates TA, Gilchrist JJ, Parks T, Dodd PJ, Möller M, Hoal EG, Morris AP & Hill AVS (2024) Multi-ancestry meta-analysis of host genetic susceptibility to tuberculosis identifies shared genetic architecture. eLife, 13, e84394.
• d'Elbée M, Harker M, Mafirakureva N, Nanfuka M, Huyen Ton Nu Nguyet M, Taguebue JV, Moh R, Khosa C, Mustapha A, Mwanga-Amumpere J , Borand L et al (2024) Cost-effectiveness and budget impact of decentralising childhood tuberculosis diagnosis in six high tuberculosis incidence countries: a mathematical modelling study. eClinicalMedicine.
• Emery JC, Dodd PJ, Banu S, Frascella B, Garden FL, Horton KC, Hossain S, Law I, van Leth F, Marks GB , Nguyen HB et al (2023) Estimating the contribution of subclinical tuberculosis disease to transmission: an individual patient data analysis from prevalence surveys. eLife, 2023(12). View this article in WRRO
• Jordan AE, Nsengiyumva NP, Houben RMGJ, Dodd PJ, Dale KD, Trauer JM, Denholm JT, Johnston JC, Khan FA, Campbell JR & Schwartzman K (2023) The prevalence of tuberculosis infection among foreign-born Canadians: a modelling study. Canadian Medical Association Journal, 195(48), E1651-E1659.
• Achar J, Seddon JA, Knight GM, Dodd PJ, Esmail H, Hughes J & McQuaid CF (2023) Guiding pragmatic treatment choices for rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis in the absence of second-line drug susceptibility testing. European Respiratory Journal, 62(5), 2300969-2300969.
• Bonnet M, Vasiliu A, Tchounga BK, Cuer B, Fielding K, Ssekyanzi B, Tchakounte Youngui B, Cohn J, Dodd PJ, Tiendrebeogo G , Tchendjou P et al (2023) Effectiveness of a community-based approach for the investigation and management of children with household tuberculosis contact in Cameroon and Uganda: a cluster-randomised trial. The Lancet Global Health, 11(12), e1911-e1921.
• Mafirakureva N, Tchounga BK, Mukherjee S, Youngui BT, Ssekyanzi B, Simo L, Okello RF, Turyahabwe S, Kuate Kuate A, Cohn J , Vasiliu A et al (2023) Cost-effectiveness of community-based household tuberculosis contact management for children in Cameroon and Uganda: a modelling analysis of a cluster-randomised trial. The Lancet Global Health, 11(12), e1922-e1930.
• Dodd PJ, McQuaid CF, Rao P, Abubakar I, Arinaminpathy N, Carnegie A, Cobelens F, Dowdy D, Fiekert K, Grant AD , Wu J et al (2023) Improving the quality of the Global Burden of Disease tuberculosis estimates from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. International Journal of Epidemiology, dyad128.
• Klinkenberg E, Floyd S, Shanaube K, Mureithi L, Gachie T, de Haas P, Kosloff B, Dodd PJ, Ruperez M, Wapamesa C , Burnett JM et al (2023) Tuberculosis prevalence after 4 years of population-wide systematic TB symptom screening and universal testing and treatment for HIV in the HPTN 071 (PopART) community-randomised trial in Zambia and South Africa: a cross-sectional survey (TREATS). PLOS Medicine, 20(9).
• Menzies N, Allwood BW, Dean A, Dodd PJ, Houben RMGJ, James L, Knight G, Meghji J, Nguyen L, Rachow A , Schumacher S et al (2023) Global Burden of Disease Due to Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis in 2020: A Mathematical Modelling Analysis.
• Ruperez M, Shanaube K, Mureithi L, Wapamesa C, Burnett JM, Kosloff B, de Haas P, Hayes R, Fidler S, Gachie T , Schaap A et al (2023) Use of point-of-care C-reactive protein testing for screening of tuberculosis in the community in high-burden settings: a prospective, cross-sectional study in Zambia and South Africa. The Lancet Global Health, 11(5), e704-e714.
• Burke RM, Nliwasa M, Dodd PJ, Feasey HRA, Khundi M, Choko A, Nzawa-Soko R, Mpunga J, Webb EL, Fielding K , MacPherson P et al (2023) Impact of Community-Wide Tuberculosis Active Case Finding and Human Immunodeficiency Virus Testing on Tuberculosis Trends in Malawi. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 77(1), 94-100.
• Breeze PR, Squires H, Ennis K, Meier P, Hayes K, Lomax N, Shiell A, Kee F, de Vocht F, O’Flaherty M , Gilbert N et al (2023) Guidance on the use of complex systems models for economic evaluations of public health interventions. Health Economics.
• Dodd PJ, Shaweno D, Ku C-C, Glaziou P, Pretorius C, Hayes RJ, MacPherson P, Cohen T & Ayles H (2023) Transmission modeling to infer tuberculosis incidence prevalence and mortality in settings with generalized HIV epidemics. Nature Communications, 14(1).
• Ranasinghe L, Achar J, Gröschel MI, Whittaker E, Dodd PJ & Seddon JA (2022) Global impact of COVID-19 on childhood tuberculosis: an analysis of notification data. The Lancet Global Health, 10(12), e1774-e1781.
• Rickman HM, Kamchedzera W, Schwalb A, Phiri MD, Ruhwald M, Shanaube K, Dodd PJ, Houben RMGJ, Corbett EL & MacPherson P (2022) Know your tuberculosis epidemic–Is it time to add Mycobacterium tuberculosis immunoreactivity back into global surveillance?. PLOS Global Public Health, 2(10).
• Cardoso Pinto AM, Ranasinghe L, Dodd PJ, Budhathoki SS, Seddon JA & Whittaker E (2022) Disruptions to routine childhood vaccinations in low- and middle-income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic : a systematic review. Frontiers in Pediatrics, 10.
• Mafirakureva N, Klinkenberg E, Spruijt I, Levy J, Shaweno D, de Haas P, Kaswandani N, Bedru A, Triasih R, Gebremichael M , Dodd PJ et al (2022) Xpert Ultra stool testing to diagnose tuberculosis in children in Ethiopia and Indonesia: a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis. BMJ Open, 12(7), e058388-e058388.
• Floyd S, Klinkenberg E, de Haas P, Kosloff B, Gachie T, Dodd PJ, Ruperez M, Wapamesa C, Burnett MJ, Kalisvaart N , Vermaak R et al (2022) Optimising Xpert-Ultra and culture testing to reliably measure tuberculosis prevalence in the community: findings from surveys in Zambia and South Africa. BMJ Open, 12(6). View this article in WRRO
• Khundi M, Carpenter JR, Corbett EL, Feasey HRA, Soko RN, Nliwasa M, Twabi H, Chiume L, Burke RM, Horton KC , Dodd PJ et al (2022) Neighbourhood prevalence-to-notification ratios for adult bacteriologically-confirmed tuberculosis reveals hotspots of underdiagnosis in Blantyre, Malawi. PLoS One, 17(5).
• Dodd PJ, Mafirakureva N, Seddon JA & McQuaid CF (2022) The global impact of household contact management for children on multidrug-resistant and rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis cases, deaths, and health-system costs in 2019: a modelling study. The Lancet Global Health, 10(7), E1034-E1044.
• Gröschel MI, van den Boom M, Dixit A, Skrahina A, Dodd PJ, Migliori GB, Seddon JA & Farhat MR (2022) Management of childhood MDR-TB in Europe and Central Asia : report of a Regional WHO meeting.. International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 26(5), 433-440.
• Verkuijl S, Sekadde MP, Dodd PJ, Arinaitwe M, Chiang SS, Brands A, Viney K, Sismanidis C & Jenkins HE (2022) Addressing the data gaps on child and adolescent tuberculosis. Pathogens, 11(3).
• Vasiliu A, Tiendrebeogo G, Awolu MM, Akatukwasa C, Tchakounte BY, Ssekyanzi B, Tchounga BK, Atwine D, Casenghi M, Bonnet M , Bonnet M et al (2022) Feasibility of a randomized clinical trial evaluating a community intervention for household tuberculosis child contact management in Cameroon and Uganda. Pilot and Feasibility Studies, 8. View this article in WRRO
• Alba S, Rood E, Mecatti F, Ross JM, Dodd PJ, Chang S, Potgieter M, Bertarelli G, Henry NJ, LeGrand KE , Trouleau W et al (2022) TB hackathon : development and comparison of five models to predict subnational tuberculosis prevalence in Pakistan. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 7(1).
• Dodd PJ, Osman M, Cresswell FV, Stadelman AM, Lan NH, Thuong NTT, Muzyamba M, Glaser L, Dlamini SS & Seddon JA (2021) The global burden of tuberculous meningitis in adults : a modelling study. PLoS Global Public Health, 1(12).
• Murray EJ, Dodd PJ, Marais B, Ayles H, Shanaube K, Schaap A, White RG & Bond V (2021) Sociological variety and the transmission efficiency of Mycobacterium tuberculosis: a secondary analysis of qualitative and quantitative data from 15 communities in Zambia. BMJ Open, 11(12).
• Telisinghe L, Shaweno D, Hayes RJ, Dodd PJ & Ayles HM (2021) The effect of systematic screening of the general population on TB case notification rates. The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 25(12), 964-973.
• Vasiliu A, Eymard-Duvernay S, Tchounga B, Atwine D, de Carvalho E, Ouedraogo S, Kakinda M, Tchendjou P, Turyahabwe S, Kuate AK , Tiendrebeogo G et al (2021) Community intervention for child tuberculosis active contact investigation and management : study protocol for a parallel cluster randomized controlled trial. Trials, 22(1).
• Mousa A, Winskill P, Watson OJ, Ratmann O, Monod M, Ajelli M, Diallo A, Dodd PJ, Grijalva CG, Kiti MC , Krishnan A et al (2021) Social contact patterns and implications for infectious disease transmission : a systematic review and meta-analysis of contact surveys. eLife, 10.
• Ku C-C, MacPherson P, Khundi M, Nzawa Soko RH, Feasey HRA, Nliwasa M, Horton KC, Corbett EL & Dodd PJ (2021) Durations of asymptomatic, symptomatic, and care-seeking phases of tuberculosis disease with a Bayesian analysis of prevalence survey and notification data. BMC Medicine, 19(1).
• Soko RN, Burke RM, Feasey HRA, Sibande W, Nliwasa M, Henrion MYR, Khundi M, Dodd PJ, Ku CC, Kawalazira G , Choko AT et al (2021) Effects of Coronavirus disease pandemic on tuberculosis notifications, Malawi. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 27(7), 1831-1839. View this article in WRRO
• Shaweno D, Horton KC, Hayes RJ & Dodd PJ (2021) Assortative social mixing and sex disparities in tuberculosis burden. Scientific Reports, 11. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Sismanidis C & Glaziou P (2021) Methods for estimating tuberculosis incidence and mortality by age and sex. International Journal of Epidemiology.
• Gibbs N, Kwon J, Balen J & Dodd PJ (2020) Operational research to support equitable non-communicable disease policy in low-income and middle-income countries in the sustainable development era : a scoping review. BMJ Global Health, 5(6). View this article in WRRO
• Thokala P, Dodd P, Baalbaki H, Brennan A, Dixon S & Lowrie K (2020) Developing Markov models from real-world data: A case study of heart failure modeling using administrative data. Value in Health, 23(6), 743-750. View this article in WRRO
• Ku C-C, Chen C-C, Dixon S, Lin HH & Dodd PJ (2020) Patient pathways of tuberculosis care-seeking and treatment: an individual-level analysis of National Health Insurance data in Taiwan. BMJ Global Health, 5(6). View this article in WRRO
• Denoeud-Ndam L, Otieno-Masaba R, Tchounga B, Machekano R, Simo L, Mboya JP, Kose J, Tchendjou P, Bissek A-CZ-K, Okomo GO , Casenghi M et al (2020) Integrating pediatric TB services into child healthcare services in Africa: study protocol for the INPUT cluster-randomized stepped wedge trial. BMC Public Health, 20(1). View this article in WRRO
• Yuen CM, Seddon JA, Keshavjee S & Dodd PJ (2020) Risk-benefit analysis of tuberculosis infection testing for household contact management in high-burden countries : a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet Global Health, 8, e672-e680. View this article in WRRO
• Snow KJ, Cruz AT, Seddon JA, Ferrand RA, Chiang SS, Hughes JA, Kampmann B, Graham SM, Dodd PJ, Houben RM , Denholm JT et al (2020) Adolescent tuberculosis. The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health, 4(1), 68-79. View this article in WRRO
• Dale KD, Trauer JM, Dodd PJ, Houben RMGJ & Denholm JT (2020) Estimating Long-term Tuberculosis Reactivation Rates in Australian Migrants. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 70(10), 2111-2118. View this article in WRRO
• Sheikh A, Campbell H, Balharry D, Adab P, Barreto ML, Bauld L, Cooper P, Cruz A, Davidson FM, Dodd P , Enocson A et al (2019) The UK’s Global Health Respiratory Network : improving respiratory health of the world's poorest through research collaborations. Journal of Global Health, 9(2). View this article in WRRO
• Ku C-C & Dodd PJ (2019) Forecasting the impact of population ageing on tuberculosis incidence. PLoS ONE, 14(9). View this article in WRRO
• Radtke KK, Dooley KE, Dodd PJ, Garcia-Prats AJ, McKenna L, Hesseling AC & Savic RM (2019) Alternative dosing guidelines to improve outcomes in childhood tuberculosis : a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health. View this article in WRRO
• Knight GM, McQuaid CF, Dodd PJ & Houben RMGJ (2019) Global burden of latent multidrug-resistant tuberculosis : trends and estimates based on mathematical modelling. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. View this article in WRRO
• Fox GJ, Dodd PJ & Marais BJ (2019) Household contact investigation to improve tuberculosis control. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 19(3), 235-237.
• MacPherson P, Khundi M, Nliwasa M, Choko AT, Phiri VK, Webb EL, Dodd PJ, Cohen T, Harris R & Corbett EL (2019) Disparities in access to diagnosis and care in Blantyre, Malawi, identified through enhanced tuberculosis surveillance and spatial analysis. BMC Medicine, 17. View this article in WRRO
• Dale KD, Trauer JM, Dodd PJ, Houben RMGJ & Denholm JT (2018) Estimating the prevalence of latent tuberculosis in a low-incidence setting: Australia. European Respiratory Journal, 52(6). View this article in WRRO
• Bond V, Ngwenya F, Murray E, Ngwenya N, Viljoen L, Gumede D, Bwalya C, Mantantana J, Hoddinott G, Dodd PJ , Ayles H et al (2018) Value and Limitations of Broad Brush Surveys Used in Community-Randomized Trials in Southern Africa. Qualitative Health Research. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Yuen CM, Becerra MC, Revill P, Jenkins HE & Seddon JA (2018) Potential effect of household contact management on childhood tuberculosis: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet Global Health, 6(12), e1329-e1338. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Pennington JJ, Bronner Murrison L & Dowdy DW (2018) Simple Inclusion of Complex Diagnostic Algorithms in Infectious Disease Models for Economic Evaluation.. Medical Decision Making, 38(8), 930-941. View this article in WRRO
• Trauer JM, Dodd PJ, Gomes MGM, Gomez GB, Houben RM, McBryde ES, Melsew YA, Menzies NA, Arinaminpathy N, Shrestha S & Dowdy DW (2018) The Importance of Heterogeneity to the Epidemiology of Tuberculosis.. Clinical Infectious Diseases. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ (2018) Commentary: The pros of plurality for tuberculosis burden estimates. International Journal of Epidemiology, 47(5), 1560-1561. View this article in WRRO
• Esmail H, Dodd PJ & Houben RMGJ (2018) Tuberculosis transmission during the subclinical period: could unrelated cough play a part?. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 6(4), 244-246.
• Dodd PJ, Yuen CM, Sismanidis C, Seddon JA & Jenkins HE (2017) The global burden of tuberculosis mortality in children: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet Global Health, 5(9), e898-e906. View this article in WRRO
• Pedrazzoli D, Boccia D, Dodd PJ, Lonnroth K, Dowdy DW, Siroka A, Kimerling ME, White RG & Houben RMGJ (2017) Modelling the social and structural determinants of tuberculosis: opportunities and challenges. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TUBERCULOSIS AND LUNG DISEASE, 21(9), 957-964. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ (2017) Tracking tuberculosis incidence: Time to tool up. International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 21(4), 363-363. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Prendergast AJ, Beecroft C, Kampmann B & Seddon JA (2017) The impact of HIV and antiretroviral therapy on TB risk in children: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Thorax, 72, 559-575. View this article in WRRO
• Houben RM & Dodd PJ (2016) The Global Burden of Latent Tuberculosis Infection: A Re-estimation Using Mathematical Modelling. PLoS Medicine, 13(10). View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Sismanidis C & Seddon JA (2016) Global burden of drug-resistant tuberculosis in children: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infectious Diseases, 16(10), 1193-1201. View this article in WRRO
• Harris RC, Dodd PJ & White RG (2016) The potential impact of BCG vaccine supply shortages on global paediatric tuberculosis mortality.. BMC Med, 14(1), 138-138. View this article in WRRO
• Rafia R, Dodd PJ, Brennan A, Meier PS, Hope VD, Ncube F, Byford S, Tie H, Metrebian N, Hellier J , Weaver T et al (2016) An economic evaluation of contingency management for completion of hepatitis B vaccination in those on treatment for opiate dependence. Addiction, 111(9), 1616-1627. View this article in WRRO
• McCreesh N, Faghmous I, Looker C, Dodd PJ, Plumb ID, Shanaube K, Muyoyeta M, Godfrey-Faussett P, Ayles H & White RG (2016) Coverage of clinic-based TB screening in South Africa may be low in key risk groups. Public Health Action, 6(1), 19-21. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Looker C, Plumb ID, Bond V, Schaap A, Shanaube K, Muyoyeta M, Vynnycky E, Godfrey-Faussett P, Corbett EL , Beyers N et al (2016) Age- and Sex-Specific Social Contact Patterns and Incidence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection.. Am J Epidemiol, 183(2), 156-166. View this article in WRRO
• McCreesh N, Looker C, Dodd PJ, Plumb ID, Shanaube K, Muyoyeta M, Godfrey-Faussett P, Corbett EL, Ayles H & White RG (2016) Comparison of indoor contact time data in Zambia and Western Cape, South Africa suggests targeting of interventions to reduce Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission should be informed by local data. BMC Infectious Diseases, 16(1). View this article in WRRO
• Knight GM, Gomez GB, Dodd PJ, Dowdy D, Zwerling A, Wells WA, Cobelens F, Vassall A & White RG (2015) The Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of a Four-Month Regimen for First-Line Treatment of Active Tuberculosis in South Africa. PLOS ONE, 10(12), e0145796-e0145796. View this article in WRRO
• Seddon JA, Jenkins HE, Liu L, Cohen T, Black RE, Vos T, Becerra MC, Graham SM, Sismanidis C & Dodd PJ (2015) Counting children with tuberculosis: why numbers matter. The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 19(12), 9-16. View this article in WRRO
• Pretorius C, Glaziou P, Dodd PJ, White R & Houben R (2014) Using the TIME model in Spectrum to estimate tuberculosis–HIV incidence and mortality. AIDS, 28, S477-S487. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Gardiner E, Coghlan R & Seddon JA (2014) Burden of childhood tuberculosis in 22 high-burden countries: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet Global Health. View this article in WRRO
• Dowdy DW, Andrews JR, Dodd PJ & Gilman RH (2014) A user-friendly, open-source tool to project impact and cost of diagnostic tests for tuberculosis.. Elife, 3. View this article in WRRO
• Houben RMGJ, Dowdy DW, Vassall A, Cohen T, Nicol MP, Granich RM, Shea JE, Eckhoff P, Dye C, Kimerling ME & White RG (2014) How can mathematical models advance tuberculosis control in high HIV prevalence settings?. The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 18(5), 509-514.
• Eaton JW, Menzies NA, Stover J, Cambiano V, Chindelevitch L, Cori A, Hontelez JAC, Humair S, Kerr CC, Klein DJ , Mishra S et al (2014) Health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of earlier eligibility for adult antiretroviral therapy and expanded treatment coverage: a combined analysis of 12 mathematical models. The Lancet Global Health, 2(1), e23-e34.
• Eaton JW, Menzies NA, Stover J, Cambiano V, Chindelevitch L, Cori A, Hontelez JAC, Humair S, Kerr CC, Klein DJ & others (2014) Health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of earlier eligibility for adult antiretroviral therapy and expanded treatment coverage: a combined analysis of 12 mathematical models. The Lancet Global Health, 2(1), e23-e34.
• Pretorius C, Menzies NA, Chindelevitch L, Cohen T, Cori A, Eaton JW, Fraser C, Gopalappa C, Hallett TB, Salomon JA , Stover J et al (2014) The potential effects of changing HIV treatment policy on tuberculosis outcomes in South Africa: results from three tuberculosis-HIV transmission models. AIDS (London, England), 28, S25-34.
• Chis Ster I, Dodd PJ & Ferguson NM (2012) Within-farm transmission dynamics of foot and mouth disease as revealed by the 2001 epidemic in Great Britain. Epidemics, 4(3), 158-169.
• Pretorius C, Dodd P & Wood R (2011) An investigation into the statistical properties of TB episodes in a South African community with high HIV prevalence. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 270(1), 154-163.
• Jombart T, Eggo RM, Dodd PJ & Balloux F (2011) Reconstructing disease outbreaks from genetic data: a graph approach. Heredity, 106(2), 383-390.
• Dodd PJ, White PJ & Garnett GP (2010) Notions of synergy for combinations of interventions against infectious diseases in heterogeneously mixing populations. Mathematical Biosciences, 227(2), 94-104.
• Dodd PJ, Millington KA, Ghani AC, Mutsvangwa J, Butterworth AE, Lalvani A & Corbett EL (2010) Interpreting Tuberculin Skin Tests in a Population With a High Prevalence of HIV, Tuberculosis, and Nonspecific Tuberculin Sensitivity. American Journal of Epidemiology, 171(9), 1037-1045. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Garnett GP & Hallett TB (2010) Examining the promise of HIV elimination by ‘test and treat’ in hyperendemic settings. AIDS, 24(5), 729-735.
• Dodd PJ & Ferguson NM (2007) Approximate disease dynamics in household-structured populations. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 4(17), 1103-1106.
• Wambiya EOA, Oguta JO, Akparibo R, Gillespie D, Otieno P, Akoth C, Kamano J, Kibe P, Kisaka Y, Onyango E , Gathecha G et al () Stakeholder perspectives on the barriers and facilitators to integrating cardiovascular disease and diabetes management at primary care in Kenya. PLOS Global Public Health, 5(7), e0004164-e0004164.
• Mafirakureva N, Daniel OK, Olayinka OJ, Ochei KC, Klinkenberg E, Ihesie A, Nongo D, Eneogu RA, Mwansasu A, Elom EU , Aderonke AV et al () Evaluating the health impact, health-system costs and cost-effectiveness of using TrueNat on stool samples compared to usual care for the diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis in primary care settings: A modelling analysis. PLOS Global Public Health, 5(6), e0004016-e0004016.
• Yates TA, Parks T & Dodd PJ () Quantifying potential immortal time bias in observational studies in acute severe infection. Open Forum Infectious Diseases.
• Oguta JO, Breeze P, Wambiya E, Kibe P, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd PJ () Application of decision analytic modelling to cardiovascular disease prevention in Sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review. Communications Medicine, 5(1).
• MacPherson P, Stagg HR, Schwalb A, Henderson H, Taylor AE, Burke RM, Rickman HM, Miller C, Houben RMGJ, Dodd PJ & Corbett EL () Impact of active case finding for tuberculosis with mass chest X-ray screening in Glasgow, Scotland, 1950–1963: An epidemiological analysis of historical data. PLOS Medicine, 21(11), e1004448-e1004448.
• Mafirakureva N, Mukherjee S, Tchounga B, Atwine D, Tchakounte Youngui B, Ssekyanzi B, Okello R, Leonie S, Cohn J, Casenghi M , Vasiliu A et al () Household costs incurred under community- and facility-based service-delivery models of tuberculosis preventive therapy for children: a survey in Cameroon and Uganda. Journal of Global Health Reports, 7.
• Mafirakureva N, Mukherjee S, Denoeud-Ndam L, Otieno-Masaba R, Tchounga B, Anyango Ouma M, Siamba S, Petnga S-J, Tchendjou P, Casenghi M , Tiam A et al () Household costs incurred when seeking and receiving paediatric tuberculosis services: a survey in Cameroon and Kenya. Journal of Global Health Reports, 7.
• Mafirakureva N, Mukherjee S, de Souza M, Kelly-Cirino C, Songane MJP, Cohn J, Lemaire J-F, Casenghi M & Dodd PJ () Cost-effectiveness analysis of interventions to improve diagnosis and preventive therapy for paediatric tuberculosis in 9 sub-Saharan African countries: A modelling study. PLOS Medicine, 20(9), e1004285-e1004285.
• Jayasooriya S, Dimambro-Denson F, Beecroft C, Balen J, Awokola B, Mitchell C, Kampmann B, Campbell F, Dodd P & Mortimer K () Patients with presumed tuberculosis in sub-Saharan Africa that are not diagnosed with tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Thorax.
• Ellis PK, Martin WJ & Dodd PJ () CD4 count and tuberculosis risk in HIV-positive adults not on ART: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PeerJ, 5, e4165-e4165. View this article in WRRO
• Knight GM, Dodd PJ, Grant AD, Fielding KL, Churchyard GJ & White RG () Tuberculosis Prevention in South Africa. PLOS ONE, 10(4), e0122514-e0122514. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Knight GM, Lawn SD, Corbett EL & White RG () Predicting the Long-Term Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy Scale-Up on Population Incidence of Tuberculosis. PLoS ONE, 8(9), e75466-e75466. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ, Knight GM, Lawn SD, Corbett EL & White RG () Correction: Predicting the Long-Term Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy Scale-Up on Population Incidence of Tuberculosis. PLoS ONE, 8(10).
• Dodd PJ, White RG & Corbett EL () Periodic Active Case Finding for TB: When to Look?. PLoS ONE, 6(12), e29130-e29130. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ & Ferguson NM () A Many-Body Field Theory Approach to Stochastic Models in Population Biology. PLoS ONE, 4(9), e6855-e6855. View this article in WRRO
• Jombart T, Eggo RM, Dodd P & Balloux F () Spatiotemporal dynamics in the early stages of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic. PLoS Currents, 1, RRN1026-RRN1026.
• Dodd PJ () Disentanglement by dissipative open system dynamics. Physical Review A, 69(5).
• Dodd PJ & Halliwell JJ () Disentanglement and decoherence by open system dynamics. Physical Review A, 69(5).
• Dodd PJ & Halliwell JJ () Decoherence and records for the case of a scattering environment. Physical Review D, 67(10).
• Dodd P, Yuen C, Jayasooriya S, van der Zalm M & Seddon J () Quantifying the global number of tuberculosis survivors: a modelling study. Lancet Infectious Diseases.
• Soko RN, Burke RM, Feasey HRA, Sibande W, Nliwasa M, Henrion MYR, Khundi M, Dodd PJ, Ku CC, Kawalazira G , Choko AT et al () Impact of COVID-19 on tuberculosis notifications in Blantyre Malawi: an interrupted time series analysis and qualitative study with healthcare workers.

Chapters

• Dodd PJ, de Carvalho Augusto R, Roquis D, Picard MAL, Chaparro C, Cosseau C & Grunau C (2020) Correction to: Modelling the HIV-Associated TB Epidemic and the Impact of Interventions Aimed at Epidemic Control, HIV and Tuberculosis (pp. C1-C1). Springer International Publishing
• Dodd PJ, Pretorius C & Williams BG (2019) Modelling the HIV-Associated TB Epidemic and the Impact of Interventions Aimed at Epidemic Control, HIV and Tuberculosis (pp. 25-55). Springer International Publishing

Conference proceedings papers

• Mohammed W, Strong M & Dodd P (2024) DERIVING DECISION UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH CALIBRATION TARGET DATA: A VALUE OF INFORMATION APPROACH. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 27(12)
• Wambiya E, Gillespie D, Akparibo R, Oguta J, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd P (2024) DECISION-ANALYTIC MODEL-BASED ECONOMIC EVALUATIONS OF INTEGRATED CARE INTERVENTIONS FOR CARDIOMETABOLIC MULTIMORBIDITY: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 27(12) (pp S167-S167)
• Oguta J, Breeze P, Wambiya EOA, Kibe P, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd P (2024) APPLICATION OF DECISION ANALYTIC MODELLING TO CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE PREVENTION IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 27(12) (pp S69-S69)
• Srivastava T, Strong M, Stevenson MD & Dodd P (2019) PNS337: Improving on cycle corrections for time-homogeneous markov models. Value in Health, Vol. 22(Suppl 3) (pp S821-S821). Copenhagen, Denmark, 2 November 2019 - 2 November 2019. View this article in WRRO
• Dodd PJ & Kranzer K (2019) ADOLESCENT TUBERCULOSIS: THE MISSING MIDDLE. TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, Vol. 113 (pp S1-S1)

Reports

• Glaziou P, Dodd P, Dean A & Floyd K (2020) Methods used by WHO to estimate the global burden of TB disease
• Glaziou P, Sismanidis C, Dodd PJ, Zignol M & Floyd K (2017) Methods used by WHO to estimate the global burden of TB disease
• Glaziou P, Dodd PJ, Dean A & Floyd K () Methods used by WHO to estimate the global burden of TB disease

Posters

• Dodd P Optimizing route choice in Mini-mountain marathons (RSS Annual Conference 7-10 September 2015).
• Thokala P, Dodd P, Dixon S & Brennan A Using real world data to structure and populate Markov models - a case study of telemonitoring for heart failure.

Preprints

• Mafirakureva N, Cartledge A, Bradshaw I, Bekker A, Salazar-Austin N, Meehan S-A, Myer L, Odayar J, Rangaka MX & Dodd PJ (2025) Global estimates of tuberculosis incidence during pregnancy and postpartum: a rapid review and modelling analysis, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Menzies NA, Brown TS, Imai-Eaton JW, Dodd PJ, Cohen T & Martinez L (2025) Potential pediatric tuberculosis incidence and deaths resulting from interruption in programmes supported by international health aid, 2025-2034: a mathematical modelling study, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Mandal S, Satyanarayana S, McQuaid F, Dodd PJ, Menzies NA, White RG, Arinaminpathy N, Houben RMGJ, Dowdy DW, Smit M , Sahu S et al (2025) Theglobal TB portfolio model: a tool for projecting the epidemiological impact of TB policy options, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Mafirakureva N, Hunter R, Ferraro CF, Willner S, Finnie T, Hayward A, Lee A, Roy A, Edge C & Dodd PJ (2025) Cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis infection screening at first reception into English prisons: a model-based analysis, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Yates TA, Parks T & Dodd PJ (2025) Quantifying potential immortal time bias in observational studies in acute severe infection, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Olbrich L, Larsson L, Dodd P, Palmer M, Nguyet MHTN, d'Elbée M, Hesseling AC, Heinrich N, Zar H, Ntinginya NE , Khosa C et al (2025) Diagnostic Accuracy of the Who-Recommended Tuberculosis Treatment Decision Algorithms for Children with Presumptive Tuberculosis: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis, Elsevier BV.
• Wambiya EOA, Oguta JO, Akparibo R, Gillespie D, Otieno P, Akoth C, Kamano J, Kibe P, Kisaka Y, Onyango E , Gathecha G et al (2024) Stakeholder perspectives on the barriers and facilitators to integrating cardiovascular disease and diabetes management at primary care in Kenya, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Mafirakureva N, Daniel OK, Olayinka JO, Ochei KC, Klinkenberg E, Ihesie A, Nongo D, Eneogu RA, Mwansasu A, Elom EU , Aderonke AV et al (2024) Evaluating the health impact, health-system costs and cost-effectiveness of using TrueNat on stool samples compared to usual care for the diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis in primary care settings: a modelling analysis, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• d’Elbée M, Mafirakureva N, Chabala C, Ton Nu Nguyet MH, Harker M, Roucher C, Businge G, Shankalala P, Nduna B, Mulenga V , Bonnet M et al (2024) Treatment decision algorithms for tuberculosis screening and diagnosis in children below 5 years hospitalised with severe acute malnutrition: a cost-effectiveness analysis, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Oguta JO, Breeze P, Wambiya E, Kibe P, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd PJ (2024) Application of Decision Analytic Modelling to Cardiovascular Disease Prevention in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review, Springer Science and Business Media LLC.
• Oguta J, Breeze P, Akoth C, Wambiya E, Mbuthia G, Otieno P, Gathecha G, Onyango E, Kisaka Y & Dodd P (2024) Socioeconomic Inequalities in Ideal Cardiovascular Health in Kenya: A Decomposition Analysis, Springer Science and Business Media LLC.
• Wambiya EOA, Gillespie D, Akparibo R, Oguta JO, Akoth C, Otieno P & Dodd PJ (2024) Application of decision-analytic models to inform integrated care interventions for cardiometabolic multimorbidity: A systematic review, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• MacPherson P, Stagg HR, Schwalb A, Henderson H, Taylor AE, Burke RM, Rickman HM, Miller C, Houben RMGJ, Dodd PJ & Corbett EL (2024) Impact of active case finding for tuberculosis with mass chest X-ray screening in Glasgow, Scotland, 1950-1963: an epidemiological analysis of historical data, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Schurz H, Kinnear CJ, van Helden PD, Tromp G, Hoal EG & Möller M (2024) X-linked multi-ancestry meta-analysis reveals tuberculosis susceptibility variants, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Chitwood MH, Corbett EL, Ndhlovu V, Sobkowiak B, Colijn C, Andrews JR, Burke RM, Cudahy PGT, Dodd PJ, Imai-Eaton JW , Engelthaler DM et al (2024) Distribution and transmission ofM. tuberculosisin a high-HIV prevalence city in Malawi: a genomic and spatial analysis, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Schwalb A, Dodd P, Rickman HM, Ugarte-Gil C, Horton KC & Houben RMGJ (2024) Estimating the Global Burden of Viable Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Infection, Elsevier BV.
• d’Elbée M, Harker M, Mafirakureva N, Nanfuka M, Huyen Ton Nu Nguyet M, Taguebue J-V, Moh R, Khosa C, Mustapha A, Mwanga-Amumpere J , Borand L et al (2023) Cost-effectiveness and budget impact of decentralising childhood tuberculosis diagnosis: a mathematical modelling study in six high tuberculosis incidence countries, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Jordan AE, Nsengiyumva NP, Houben RMGJ, Dodd PJ, Dale KD, Trauer JM, Denholm JT, Johnston JC, Khan FA, Campbell JR & Schwartzman K (2023) The Prevalence of Tuberculosis Infection Among Foreign-Born Canadians: A Modelling Study, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Dodd PJ, Shaweno D, Ku C-C, Glaziou P, Pretorius C, Hayes RJ, MacPherson P, Cohen T & Ayles H (2022) Transmission modeling to infer tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality in settings with generalized HIV epidemics, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Schurz H, Naranbhai V, Yates TA, Gilchrist JJ, Parks T, Dodd PJ, Möller M, Hoal EG, Morris AP & Hill AVS (2022) Multi-ancestry meta-analysis of host genetic susceptibility to tuberculosis identifies shared genetic architecture, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
• Dodd PJ (2003) Disentanglement by Dissipative Open System Dynamics, arXiv.
• Dodd PJ & Halliwell JJ (2003) Disentanglement and Decoherence by Open System Dynamics, arXiv.
• Dodd PJ & Halliwell JJ (2003) Decoherence and Records for the Case of a Scattering Environment, arXiv.
• Menzies N, Allwood BW, Dean A, Dodd PJ, Houben RMGJ, James L, Knight G, Meghji J, Nguyen L, Rachow A , Schumacher S et al () Global Burden of Disease Due to Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis in 2020: A Mathematical Modelling Analysis.
• Mousa A, Winskill P, Watson OJ, Ratmann O, Monod M, Ajelli M, Diallo A, Dodd PJ, Grijalva CG, Kiti MC , Krishnan A et al () Social Contact Patterns and Implications for Infectious Disease Transmission: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Contact Surveys.
• Jayasooriya S, Dimambro-Denson F, Beecroft C, Balen J, Awokola B, Mitchell C, Kampmann B, Campbell F, Dodd PJ & Mortimer K () Patients with presumed tuberculosis in sub-Saharan Africa that are not diagnosed with tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
• Ku C-C, MacPherson P, Khundi M, Nzawa R, Feasey HRA, Nliwasa M, Horton KC, Corbett EL & Dodd PJ () Estimated durations of asymptomatic, symptomatic, and care-seeking phases of tuberculosis disease.
• Vasiliu A, Eymard-Duvernay S, Tchounga B, Atwine D, Carvalho ED, Ouedraogo S, Kakinda M, Tchendjou P, Turyahabwe S, Kuate AK , Tiendrebeogo G et al () Community Intervention for Child Tuberculosis Active Contact Investigation and Management: study protocol for a parallel cluster randomized controlled trial, Research Square Platform LLC.
• Shaweno D, Horton K, Hayes R & Dodd PJ () Assortative social mixing and sex disparities in tuberculosis burden.
• Vasiliu A, Eymard-Duvernay S, Tchounga B, Atwine D, Carvalho ED, Ouedraogo S, Kakinda M, Tchendjou P, Turyahabwe S, Kuate AK , Tiendrebeogo G et al () Community Intervention for Child Tuberculosis Active Contact Investigation and Management: Study Protocol for A Cluster Randomized Trial, Research Square Platform LLC.
• Srivastava T, Strong M, Stevenson MD & Dodd PJ () Improving Cycle Corrections in Discrete Time Markov Models: A Gaussian Quadrature Approach. View this article in WRRO
• Ku C-C & Dodd PJ () Forecasting the impact of population ageing on tuberculosis incidence.
• Ku CC, Chen C-C, Dixon S, Lin H-H & Dodd PJ () Patient Pathways of Tuberculosis Care-Seeking and Treatment: An Individual-Level Analysis of National Health Insurance Data.
• Radtke KK, Dooley KE, Dodd PJ, Garcia-Prats AJ, Hesseling AC & Savic RM () Evaluation of Dosing Guidelines for Childhood Tuberculosis: A Mathematical Modeling Study.
• Emery JC, Dodd PJ, Banu S, Frascella B, Garden FL, Horton KC, Hossain S, Law I, van Leth F, Marks GB , Nguyen HB et al () Estimating the contribution of subclinical tuberculosis disease to transmission – an individual patient data analysis from prevalence surveys, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.